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Hopefully I don’t jinx anything, but here goes…
Popular Vote
Barack Obama – 53% (353 EVs)
John McCain – 46% (185 EVs)
Ralph Nader’s Ego – 1% (0 EVs)
Swing States Obama Carries by > 10% Margin
Washington, Oregon, Michigan, Iowa, Wisconsin, Maine
Swing States Obama Carries by 5-10% Margin
Minnesota, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Colorado
Swing States Obama Carries by 0-5% Margin
Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Nevada
Swing States McCain Carries by 0-5% Margin
Missouri, Indiana, North Dakota, Montana, Georgia
Traditional Swing States Obama Carries by 5-10% Margin
Arkansas, Arizona, South Dakota, West Virginia, Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District
Traditional Swing States Obama Carries by >10% Margin
Louisiana, Kentucky, Tennessee
Also… Proposition 8 in California will fail 52% to 48%.
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I hope you are right in your predictions, if you are it will save me from taking out citizenship in the country where I now live in Europe as a permanent resident.
I live in Indiana and am very happy we went blue this year! I like your prediction though, it is exactly what I was predicting before I was so happily proved wrong.
Also, I wish you had been right on prop 8 in California. That decision was particularly sucky.
Good guessing though!